image

Public Subsidies and Firm Innovation in Latin America: A Non-Parametric Assessment of Policy Effectiveness

Download Paper: Download pdf
Author(s):
Abstract:

This study examines the impact of public grants on firms’ innovation expenditures using a large sample of Latin American firms. The methodology is based on the non-parametric matching procedure. The results indicate that public incentives have a positive and statistically significant effect on firms’ innovation spending. However, public grants do not boost additional net innovation spending. This may reflect the general structural weakness in Latin America's technological system, where complex relationships involving complementarities and synergies, typically found in the technological field, are not entirely fulfilled. Moreover, companies that utilize government funds tend to finance innovation by using their own financial resources more than non-granted companies. Although the data do not allow for identifying potential substitution effects, the analysis suggests that, without the grants, these firms would have been possibly less committed to innovation. This finding supports the idea of partial positive effects of public support on firms’ innovative activities.


Copyright© 2026 The Author(s). This article is distributed under the terms of the license CC-BY 4.0., which permits any further distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


Article’s history: Received 23rd of November, 2025; Revised 13th of February, 2025; Accepted 1st of March, 2026; Available online: 15th of March, 2026. Published as article in the Volume XXI, Special Issue, 1(91), 2026.



How to cite:

Carboni, O. (2026). Public Subsidies and Firm Innovation in Latin America: A Non-Parametric Assessment of Policy Effectiveness. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Volume XXI, Special Issue, 1(91), 115 – 136. https://doi.org/10.57017/jaes.v21.si.1(91).06 


Acknowledgments/Funding: We wish to thank the University of Sassari ‘Fondo di Ateneo per la Ricerca’, the Disea ‘Fondo Dipartimento di Eccellenza’, the ‘Progetto APEGADRUS’, and the ‘Fondazione di Sardegna’ for financial support. All the usual disclaimers apply. 


Conflict of Interest Statement: The author declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.


Data Availability Statement: The data that support the findings of this study are taken from The Harmonized Latin American Innovation Surveys Database (LAIS), an extensive regional innovation policy (Crespi et al., 2022). Data are openly available at: https://data.iadb.org/dataset/harmonized-latin-american-innovation-surveys-database-lais-firm-level-micro


Ethical Approval Statement: This study was conducted in accordance with recognized standards of academic research ethics. The analysis relies exclusively on secondary data obtained from the Harmonized Latin American Innovation Surveys (LAIS) database provided by the Inter-American Development Bank. The dataset contains anonymised firm-level information and does not include personal or identifiable data. Consequently, no human participants were directly involved in the research and formal ethical approval was not required. All data were used solely for academic purposes and in compliance with principles of transparency, responsible data use, and proper source citation.


References:

Abadie, A., Imbens, & G. W. (2002). Simple and bias-corrected matching estimators for average treatment effects. Technical Working Paper No. 283, National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/t0283 


Andreoni, A., & Tregenna, F. (2020). Escaping the middle-income technology trap: A comparative analysis of industrial policies in China, Brazil and South Africa. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 54, 324–340. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2020.05.008


Antonelli, C., & Crespi, F. (2013). The Matthew effect in R&D public subsidies: The Italian evidence. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80, 1523–1534. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.03.006


Antonioli, D., & Montresor, S. (2021). Innovation persistence in times of crisis: An analysis of Italian firms. Small Business Economics, 56(4), 1739–1764. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-019-00304-8


Arrow, K. J. (1962). Economic Welfare and the Allocation of Resources for Invention. In The Rate and Direction of Inventive Activity: Economic and Social Factors (pp. 609-626). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400879762-024 


Atzeni, G. E., & Carboni, O. A. (2004). ICT productivity and human capital: The Italian North–South duality. International Review of Economics and Business, 51, 265–284. https://iris.uniss.it/handle/11388/78945 


Atzeni, G. E., & Carboni, O. A. (2006). The effects of subsidies on investment: An empirical evaluation on ICT in Italy. Revue de l’OFCE, 97(5), 279–302. https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.073.0279


Aw, B. Y., Roberts, M. J., & Xu, D. Y. (2011). R&D investments, exporting, and productivity dynamics. American Economic Review, 101(4), 1312–1344. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.4.1312


Benavente, J. M. (2004). The impact of public financing and research groups on innovative activities in Chilean industry. Mimeo.


Benavente, J. M., Crespi, G., & Maffioli, A. (2007). Public support to firm-level innovation: An evaluation of the FONTEC program. Inter-American Development Bank, Washington DC. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Public-Support-to-Firm-Level-Innovation%3A-An-of-the-Program-Benavente/83a9c0785d3bcaf799ec6d0b0dacefac609a4250?p2df 


Benavente, J. M., De Gregorio, J., & Nuñez, M. (2005). Rates of return and industrial R&D in Chile. In: Proceedings of the World Bank Conference on R&D and Innovation in the Development Process. World Bank, Washington DC. https://crei.cat/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/benavente.pdf 


Bernard, A. B., Jensen, J. B., Redding, S. J., & Schott, P. K. (2007). Firms in international trade. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(3), 105–130. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.21.3.105


Blanes, J. V., & Busom, I. (2004). Who participates in R&D subsidy programs? The case of Spanish manufacturing firms. Research Policy, 33, 1459–1476. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2004.07.006


Bond, S., Harhoff, D., & Van Reenen, J. (2005). Investment, R&D and financial constraints in Britain and Germany. Annals of Economics and Statistics, 79–80, 433–460. https://doi.org/10.2307/20079108


Borisova, G., & Brown, J. R. (2013). R&D sensitivity to asset sale proceeds: New evidence on financing constraints and intangible investment. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(1), 159–173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.08.024


Cano-Kollmann, M., Hamilton, R., & Mudambi, R. (2017). Public support for innovation and the openness of firms’ innovation activities. Industrial and Corporate Change, 26(3). 421–442. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtw025 


Caraca, J., Lundvall, B.A., & Mendonça, S. (2009). The changing role of science in the innovation process: From Queen to Cinderella. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76(6), 861–867. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2008.08.009


Carboni, O. A. (2013). Heterogeneity in R&D collaboration: An empirical investigation. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 25, 48–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2012.09.003


Carboni, O.  A., & Medda, G. (2021). Forms of extramural research acquisition and product innovation: Data from econometric estimations. Data in Brief, 39, 107567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2021.107567


Carboni, O.A., & Medda, G. (2024). Endogenous innovation and export performance in firms. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, 19(1), 48–62. https://doi.org/10.57017/jaes.v19.1(83).03


Carboni, O. A., & Russu, P. (2024). Complementarities in R&D and innovation decisions: An enquiry on an extensive sample of Latin American companies. International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management, 21(7). https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219877024500412


Carvalho, A. (2017). Wishful thinking about R&D policy targets: What governments promise and what they actually deliver. Science and Public Policy, 45(3). 373–391. https://doi.org/10.1093/scipol/scx056


Catozzella, A., & Vivarelli, M. (2016). The possible adverse impact of innovation subsidies: Some evidence from Italy. International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, 12(2). 351–368. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11365-014-0342-1 


Cavalcante, L. R., Jacinto, P. A., & De Negri, F. (2015). P&D, Inovação e produtividade na indústria brasileira. In: De Negri, F., & Cavalcante, L.R. (Eds.), Produtividade do Brasil: Desempenho e Determinantes, Volume 2, 43–68. https://portalantigo.ipea.gov.br/agencia/images/stories/ PDFs/livros/livros/prod_brasil_2015_cap-02.pdf 


Cerqua, A., & Pellegrini, G. (2014). Do subsidies to private capital boost firms’ growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach. Journal of Public Economics, 109, 114–126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.11.005


Chudnovsky, D., López, A., Rossi, M., & Ubfal, D. (2006). Evaluating a program of public funding of private innovation activities: An econometric study of FONTAR in Argentina. OVE Working Papers, No. 1606, Inter-American Development Bank.
http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011131


Cin, B. C., Kim, Y. J., & Vonortas, N. S. (2017). The impact of public R&D subsidy on small firm productivity: Evidence from Korean SMEs. Small Business Economics, 48, 345–360. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-016-9786-1


Crespi, G., & Zúñiga, P. (2012). Innovation and productivity: Evidence from six Latin American countries. World Development, 40, 273–290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.07.010


Crespi, G., Fernandez-Arias, E., & Stein, E. (2014). Rethinking productive development: Sound policies and institutions for economic transformation. Inter-American Development Bank/Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137393999 


Criscuolo, C., Gonne, N., Kitazawa, K., & Lalanne, G. (2022). Are industrial policy instruments effective? A review of the evidence in OECD countries. OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, No. 128. OECD Publishing, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/57b3dae2-en


Czarnitzki, D. (2006). Research and development in small and medium-sized enterprises: The role of financial constraints and public funding. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 53, 335–357.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.2006.00383.x


Dai, X., & Cheng, L. (2015). The effect of public subsidies on corporate R&D investment: An application of the generalized propensity score. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 410–419. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.04.014


Damanpour, F. (1987). The adoption of technological, administrative and ancillary innovations: Impact of organizational factors. Journal of Management, 13, 675–688. https://doi.org/10.1177/014920638701300408

David, P. A., Hall, B. H., & Toole, A. A. (2000). Is public R&D a complement or substitute for private R&D? Research Policy, 29, 497–529. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00087-6


De Negri, F., Rauen, A. T., & Squeff, F. H. S. (2018). Ciência, inovação e produtividade: Por uma nova geração de políticas públicas. In: De Negri, J.A., Araújo, B.C., & Bacelette, R. (Eds.), Desafios da Nação: Artigos de Apoio, IPEA, Brasília, 702. https://web.bndes.gov.br/bib/jspui/handle/1408/28567 


De Negri, J.A., Esteves, L., & Freitas, F. (2007). Knowledge production and firm growth in Brazil. Working Papers, No. 0057. http://www.economiaetecnologia.ufpr.br/textos_discussao/texto_ para_discussao_ano_2007_texto_05.pdf 


Dimakopoulou, A. G., Chatzistamoulou, N., Kounetas, K., & Tsekouras, K. (2023). Environmental innovation and R&D collaborations: Firm decisions in the innovation efficiency context. Journal of Technology Transfer, 48, 1176–1205. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10961-022-09954-9

Doan, A. T., Khan, A., Holmes, S., & Tran, T. (2021). SMEs' efficiency in a transitional economy: Do innovation and public support schemes matter? Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28(3), 1029–1060. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1940693


Fazzari, S. M., Hubbard, R. G., & Petersen, B. C. (1988). Financing constraints and corporate investment. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 141–195. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534426


Fiorentin, F., Suárez, D., & Yoguel, G. (2023). Who benefits from innovation policy? The role of firms’ capabilities in accessing public innovation funding. Innovation and Development, 13(1), 91–108. https://doi.org/10.1080/2157930X.2022.2047095


Funk, M. (2002). Basic research and international spillovers. International Review of Applied Economics, 16(2), 217–226. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692170210136156


Garcia-Quevedo, J. (2004). Do public subsidies complement business R&D? Kyklos, 57, 87–102. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0023-5962.2004.00241.x


Görg, H., & Strobl, E. (2007). The effect of R&D subsidies on private R&D. Economica, 74, 215–234.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0335.2006.00547.x


Grazzi, M., & Pietrobelli, C. (2016). Firm innovation and productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean. IADB / Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-58151-1 


Greco, M., Grimaldi, M., & Cricelli, L. (2017). Hitting the nail on the head: Exploring the relationship between public subsidies and open innovation efficiency. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 118, 213–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.022


Hall, B. H. (2002). The financing of research and development. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 18, 35–51. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/18.1.35


Hall, B. H., & Maffioli, A. (2008). Evaluating the impact of technology development funds in emerging economies. European Journal of Development Research, 20(2), 172–198. https://doi.org/10.1080/09578810802060775


Hall, B. H., Mairesse, J., & Mohnen, P. (2010). Measuring the returns to R&D. In: Hall, B.H., & Rosenberg, N. (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Innovation, Volume 2, 1033–1082. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~bhhall/papers/HallMairesseMohnen09_rndsurvey_HEI.pdf 


Harris, R., & Li, Q. C. (2009). Exporting, R&D, and absorptive capacity in UK establishments. Oxford Economic Papers, 61(1), 74–103. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpn011


Heckman, J. J., & Navarro-Lozano, S. (2004). Using matching, instrumental variables, and control functions to estimate economic choice models. Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 30–57. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465304323023741 


Heckman, J. J., Ichimura, H., & Todd, P. (1998). Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator. Review of Economic Studies, 65, 261–294. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-937X.00044


Huergo, E., Trenado, M., & Ubierna, A. (2016). The impact of public support on firm propensity to engage in R&D. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 113, 206–219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.002


Hujer, R., & Radic, D. (2005). Evaluating the impacts of subsidies on innovation activities in Germany. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 52(4), 565–586. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0036-9292.2005.00361.x


Hyytinen, A., & Toivanen, O. (2005). Do financial constraints hold back innovation and growth? Research Policy, 34, 1385–1403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2005.08.003


Klette, T., Møen, J., & Griliches, Z. (2000). Do subsidies to commercial R&D reduce market failures? Research Policy, 29, 471–495. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00086-5


Melitz, M. J. (2003). The impact of trade on intra-industry reallocations and aggregate industry productivity. Econometrica, 71(6), 1695–1725. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00467


Meuleman, M., & De Maeseneire, W. (2012). Do R&D subsidies affect SMEs' access to external financing? Research Policy, 41, 580–591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2012.01.001


Montmartin, B., & Massard, N. (2015). Is financial support for private R&D always justified? Journal of Economic Surveys, 23(3), 479–505. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12085


Perez-Alaniz, M., Lenihan, H., Doran, J., & Hewitt-Dundas, N. (2022). Financial resources for research and innovation in small and larger firms. Industry and Innovation, 30(2), 189–232. https://doi.org/10.1080/13662716.2022.2036597


Quartey, P., Turkson, E., Abor, J., & Iddrisu, A. (2017). Financing the growth of SMEs in Africa. Review of Development Finance, 7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rdf.2017.03.001


Raffo, J., Lhuillery, S., & Miotti, L. (2008). Northern and Southern innovatively. European Journal of Development Research, 20, 219–239. https://doi.org/10.1080/09578810802060777


Reichstein, T., & Salter, A. (2006). Investigating the sources of process innovation. Industrial and Corporate Change, 15(4), 653–682. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtl014


Rosenbaum, P., & Rubin, D. (1983). Central role of the propensity score in observational studies. Biometrika, 70, 41–55. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/70.1.41


Santos, A. (2019). Do selected firms show higher performance? Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 50, 39–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2019.04.003


Schiantarelli, F., & Sembenelli, A. (2000). Form of ownership and financial constraints. Empirica, 27(2), 175–192. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1026524101450


Smith, J.A., & Todd, P.E. (2005). Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique? Journal of Econometrics, 125, 305–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.04.011


Szczygielski, K., Grabowski, W., Pamukcu, M. T., & Tandogan, V.S. (2017). Does government support for private innovation matter? Research Policy, 46(1), 219–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2016.11.005

T

okila, A., Haapanen, M., & Ritsilä, J. (2008). Evaluation of investment subsidies. International Review of Applied Economics, 22(5), 585–600. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692170802287352


Torregrosa-Hetland, S., Pelkonen, A., Oksanen, J., & Kander, A. (2019). The prevalence of publicly stimulated innovations. Research Policy, 48(6), 1373–1374. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2019.01.009


Vather, P., & Vadi, M. (2024). The relationship of technological and organizational innovation with firm performance. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 206, 123516. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123516


Wagner, J. (2007). Exports and productivity. The World Economy, 30(1), 60–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2007.00872.x


Wei, J., & Liu, Y. (2015). Government support and firm innovation performance. Chinese Management Studies, 9(1), 38–55. https://doi.org/10.1108/CMS-08-2014-0168


Zúñiga-Vicente, J. A., Alonso-Borrego, C., Forcadell, F. J., & Galán, J. I. (2014). Assessing the effect of public subsidies on firm R&D investment. Journal of Economic Surveys, 28(1), 36–67. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12028


Zuniga, P., & Crespi, G. (2013). Innovation strategies and employment in Latin American firms. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 24, 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2012.12.001