image

Price to Earnings and Price to Book Ratios as Determinants of Stock Return: The Case of Financial Institutions Listed in Bahrain Bourse

Download Paper PDF: Download pdf
Author(s):
Abstract:

Price in relation to Earnings ratio (PE Ratio) and Book Value (PB Ratio) parameters have received considerable attention in predicting stock returns. However, there have been varying results of the predictive power of PE and PB Ratio to stock returns especially when different market conditions have been considered. This study was conducted to determine if PE and PB ratios can be used as predictors for stock market returns among financial institutions listed in Bahrain Stock Exchange. It utilized an analytical research design which made use of panel data analysis. Total samples of 19 financial institutions were included study with financial data covering the periods 2015 to 2018. The study found that both PE and PB ratio significantly predicts stock returns of financial institutions stocks in Bahrain at 0.05 level of significance. Both ratios have positive coefficients suggesting a positive association with stock returns. Finally, the study also concludes that loading PE and PB as predictor of stock returns would only generate estimate parameters that can only show cross and time fixed effects. Thus, individual time invariant variables or company and industry specific factors do not play a role in the ability of PE and PB ratios in predicting stock returns.


© 2020 The Author(s). This article is distributed under the terms of the license CC-BY 4.0., which permits any further distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


How to cite:

Doblas, M. P, Lagaras, M. C. P., & Enriquez, J. A. (2020). Price to Earnings and Price to Book Ratios as Determinants of Stock Return: The Case of Financial Institutions Listed in Bahrain Bourse. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Volume XV, Fall, 3(69), 532-539. https://doi.org/10.57017/jaes.v15.3(69).02

References:
  1. Al-Ajmi, J.Y. 2008. Risk tolerance of individual investors in an emerging market. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 17(1): 15-26.
  2. DeHaan, E., Shevlin, T., and Thornock, J. 2015. Market (in) attention and the strategic scheduling and timing of earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 60(1): 36-55.
  3. Hoang, B.P.D., Sunila, S.S., and Kumar, N.P. 2015. Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 40: 38–51.
  4. Kheradyar, S., and Ibrahim, I. 2011. Financial ratios as empirical predictors of stock return. International Proceedings of Economics Development and Research, 10: 318-322.
  5. Majid, M.S.A. 2016. An indirect impact of the price to book value to the stock returns: An empirical evidence from the property companies in Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansidan Keuangan, 17(2): 91-96.
  6.  Ping-fu, L., and Kwai-yee, C. 2016. Relationships between stock returns and corporate financial ratios based on a statistical analysis of corporate. Data from the Hong Kong Stock Market. Public Finance Quarterly, 61(1): 110-123
  7. Robin, T., Canquin, C., Uy, D., and Villagracia, A.R. 2015. Developing a stock price model using investment valuation ratios for the financial industry of the Philippine stock market. Conference De La Salle University Research Congress, Manila, Philippines, 2-4 March.
  8. Shafana, M.A.C.N., Rimziya, A.F., and Jariya, A.I. 2013. Relationship between stock returns and firm size, and book-to-market equity: Empirical evidence from selected companies listed on Milanka Price Index in Colombo Stock Exchange. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 4(2): 217-225.
  9. Sharif, T., Purohit, H., and Pillai, R. 2015. Analysis of factors affecting share prices: The case of Bahrain stock exchange. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 7(3): 207-216.
  10. Westerlund, J., Narayan, P.K., and Zheng, X. 2015. Testing for stock return predictability in a large Chinese panel. Emerging Markets Review, 24: 81-100.
  11. Fama, E.F., and MacBeth, J.D. 1973. Risk, return, and equilibrium: Empirical tests. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3): 607-636.
  12. Cook, T.J., and Rozeff, M.S. 1984. Size and earnings/price ratio anomalies: One effect or two? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 19(4): 449-466.
  13. French, K.R., and Poterba, J.M. 1991. Were Japanese stock prices too high? Journal of Financial Economics, 29(2): 337-363.
  14. Pontiff, J., and Schall, L.D. 1998. Book-to-market ratios as predictors of market returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(2): 141-160.
  15. Krause, A. 2001. An overview of asset pricing models. University of Bath School of Management. UK. https://people.bath.ac.uk/mnsak/Research/Asset_pricing.pdf
  16. Lewellen, J. 2004. Predicting returns with financial ratios. Journal of Financial Economics, 74(2): 209-235.
  17. Gelman, A., and Hill, J. 2006. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521686891.
  18. Damodaran, A. 2007. Valuation approaches and metrics: A survey of the theory and evidence. Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 1(8): 693-784.
  19. Tabachnick, B.G., and Fidell, L.S. 2007. Using Multivariate Statistics. Boston, MA: Allyn and Bacon. ISBN: 0205459382 978-0205459384 0205465250 978-0205465255, 980 pp.
  20. Modares, A., Abedi, S., and Mirshams, M. 2008. Testing linear relationships between excess rate of return and financial ratios. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1264912, 14 p. 
  21. Umar, Y.A. 2008. Fundamental analysis of Saudi Emerging Market Stock Returns 1990-2004. Journal of Knowledge Globalization, 1(1).
  22. Okafor, C.A., and Chijoke-Mgbame, A.M. 2011. Dividend policy and share price volatility in Nigeria. Jorind, 9(1): 202-210.
  23. Arslan, M., Zaman, R., and Phil, M. 2014. Impact of dividend yield and price earnings ratio on stock returns: A study non-financial listed firms of Pakistan. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 5(19): 68-74.
  24. Yezegel, A. 2015. Why do analysts revise their stock recommendations after earnings announcements? Journal of Accounting and Economics, 59(2-3): 163-181.
  25. Gitman, L.J., Juchau, R., and Flanagan, J. 2015. Principles of managerial finance. Pearson Higher Education AU. ISBN: 1292018208 978-1292018201, 929 p. 
  26. Rossi, M. 2016. The capital asset pricing model: a critical literature review. Global Business and Economics Review, 18(5): 604-617.
  27. Ghaeli, M. 2017. Price-to-earnings ratio: A state-of-art review. Accounting, 3(2): 131-136.
  28. Perez, G.A. 2017. Value investing in the stock market of Thailand. International Journal of Financial Studies, 5(4): 30.

*** Bahrain Economic Development Board Report. 2019. https://bahrainedb.com/business-opportunities/financial-services/ (Date accessed: 14/03/19).